Flood Footprint Assessment: A Multiregional Case of 2009 Central European Floods

Mendoza-Tinoco，David1; Hu，Yixin2,3; Zeng，Zhao4; Chalvatzis，Konstantinos J.5; Zhang，Ning6; Steenge，Albert E.7; Guan，Dabo8,9

2020

10.1111/risa.13497

RISK ANALYSIS   影响因子和分区

0272-4332

1539-6924

Hydrometeorological phenomena have increased in intensity and frequency in last decades, with Europe as one of the most affected areas. This accounts for considerable economic losses in the region. Regional adaptation strategies for costs minimization require a comprehensive assessment of the disasters’ economic impacts at a multiple-region scale. This article adapts the flood footprint method for multiple-region assessment of total economic impact and applies it to the 2009 Central European Floods event. The flood footprint is an impact accounting framework based on the input–output methodology to economically assess the physical damage (direct) and production shortfalls (indirect) within a region and wider economic networks, caused by a climate disaster. Here, the model is extended through the capital matrix, to enable diverse recovery strategies. According to the results, indirect losses represent a considerable proportion of the total costs of a natural disaster, and most of them occur in nonhighly directly impacted industries. For the 2009 Central European Floods, the indirect losses represent 65% out of total, and 70% of it comes from four industries: business services, manufacture general, construction, and commerce. Additionally, results show that more industrialized economies would suffer more indirect losses than less-industrialized ones, in spite of being less vulnerable to direct shocks. This may link to their specific economic structures of high capital-intensity and strong interindustrial linkages.

Climate change adaptation flood footprint input–output model

SCI ; EI ; SSCI

英语

其他

National Key R&D Program of China[2016YFA0602604][2018YFC0807 000][2019YFC0810705] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41921005][91846301][71771113][41629501] ; Science and Technology Innovation Commission of Shenzhen[KQJSCX20180322151418232] ; UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council[EP/K013661/1][EP/K012770/1] ; British Academy[NAFR2180103]

Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Mathematics ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences

Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods

WOS:000535068000001

WILEY

20202308779473

Climate models ; Floods ; Climate change ; Costs ; Losses ; Economic and social effects

Meteorology:443 ; Atmospheric Properties:443.1 ; Cost and Value Engineering; Industrial Economics:911 ; Industrial Economics:911.2 ; Mathematics:921 ; Social Sciences:971

SOCIAL SCIENCES, GENERAL

2-s2.0-85085648168

Scopus

1.Faculty of Economics,Autonomous University of Coahuila,Saltillo,Mexico
2.Department of Statistics and Data Science,Southern University of Science and Technology,Shenzhen,China
3.School of Environmental Sciences,University of East Anglia,Norwich,United Kingdom
4.College of Management and Economics,Tianjin University,Tianjin,China
5.Norwich Business School,University of East Anglia,Norwich,United Kingdom
6.Institute of Blue and Green Development,Weihai Institute of Interdisciplinary Research,Shandong University,Weihai,China
7.Faculty of Economics and Business,Global Economics & Management,University of Groningen,Groningen,Netherlands
8.Department of Earth System Sciences,Tsinghua University,Beijing,China
9.The Bartlett School of Construction and Project Management,University College London,London,United Kingdom

Mendoza-Tinoco，David,Hu，Yixin,Zeng，Zhao,et al. Flood Footprint Assessment: A Multiregional Case of 2009 Central European Floods[J]. RISK ANALYSIS,2020,40(8):1612-1631.

Mendoza-Tinoco，David.,Hu，Yixin.,Zeng，Zhao.,Chalvatzis，Konstantinos J..,Zhang，Ning.,...&Guan，Dabo.(2020).Flood Footprint Assessment: A Multiregional Case of 2009 Central European Floods.RISK ANALYSIS,40(8),1612-1631.

Mendoza-Tinoco，David,et al."Flood Footprint Assessment: A Multiregional Case of 2009 Central European Floods".RISK ANALYSIS 40.8(2020):1612-1631.