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题名

The COVID-19 pandemic and sovereign credit risk

作者
通讯作者Xinjie,Wang
发表日期
2021-05-20
DOI
发表期刊
ISSN
2044-1398
摘要

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads using a large sample of countries.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, the authors use a wide set of the sovereign CDS data of 78 countries. To measure the magnitude of the COVID-19 pandemic, the authors use the daily change of confirmed cases collected from Our World in Data. They use panel regressions to estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on sovereign credit risk.

Findings

The authors show how sovereign CDS spreads have widened significantly in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the most conservative estimate, a 1% increase in COVID-19 infections leads to a 0.17% increase in sovereign CDS spreads. Furthermore, this effect is stronger for developing countries and countries with worse healthcare systems. Government policies partially offset the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, although these same policies also lead to widening sovereign CDS spreads. Sovereign CDS spreads narrow dramatically several months after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, the results suggest that the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has been a massive shock to the global financial stability.

Originality/value

This paper provides new evidence that COVID-19 widens sovereign CDS spreads. The authors further show that this widening effect is felt most strongly in developing economies.

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语种
英语
学校署名
通讯
出版者
来源库
人工提交
引用统计
被引频次[WOS]:27
成果类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://sustech.caswiz.com/handle/2SGJ60CL/229211
专题商学院_金融系
作者单位
1.Department of Economics, University of Reading
2.Department of Finance, Southern University of Science and Technology
3.University of Richmond
4.Clemson University
通讯作者单位金融系
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wei-Fong,Pan,Xinjie,Wang,Ge,Wu,et al. The COVID-19 pandemic and sovereign credit risk[J]. China Finance Review International,2021.
APA
Wei-Fong,Pan,Xinjie,Wang,Ge,Wu,&Weike,Xu.(2021).The COVID-19 pandemic and sovereign credit risk.China Finance Review International.
MLA
Wei-Fong,Pan,et al."The COVID-19 pandemic and sovereign credit risk".China Finance Review International (2021).
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 文献类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可 操作
2021_covid_CFRI.pdf(1385KB)----限制开放--
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