Assess hydrological responses to a warming climate at the Lysina Critical Zone Observatory in Central Europe

Zheng, Wenjuan1; Lamacova, Anna2,3; Yu, Xuan4; Kram, Pavel2,3; Hruska, Jakub2,3; Zahradnicek, Pavel3,5; Stepanek, Petr3,5; Farda, Ales3

2021-09-01

10.1002/hyp.14281

HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES   影响因子和分区

0885-6087

1099-1085

Climate warming is having profound effects on the hydrological cycle by increasing atmospheric demand, changing water availability, and snow seasonality. Europe suffered three distinct heat waves in 2019, and 11 of the 12 hottest years ever recorded took place in the past two decades, which will potentially change seasonal streamflow patterns and long-term trends. Central Europe exhibited six dry years in a row since 2014. This study uses data from a well-documented headwater catchment in Central Europe (Lysina) to explore hydrological responses to a warming climate. We applied a lumped parameter hydrologic model Brook90 and a distributed model Penn State Integrated Hydrologic Model (PIHM) to simulate long-term hydrological change under future climate scenarios. Both models performed well on historic streamflow and in agreement with each other according to the catchment water budget. In addition, PIHM was able to simulate lateral groundwater redistribution within the catchment validated by the groundwater table dynamics. The long-term trends in runoff and low flow were captured by PIHM only. We applied different EURO-CORDEX models with two emission scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways RCP 4.5, 8.5) and found significant impacts on runoff and evapotranspiration (ET) for the period of 2071-2100. Results from both models suggested reduced runoff and increased ET, while the monthly distribution of runoff was different. We used this catchment study to understand the importance of subsurface processes in projection of hydrologic response to a warming climate.

Brook90 climate change scenario critical zone observatory Lysina PIHM process-based hydrological model

SCI ; EI

英语

第一

Guangdong Provincial Deparatment of Science and Technology, China[2019ZT08G090] ; Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of the Czech Republic: EIG CONCERT-Japan["8I20001","CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000797"] ; Czech Science Foundation[20-19471S]

Water Resources

Water Resources

WOS:000700789300019

WILEY

20213910964694

Budget control ; Catchments ; Climate change ; Climate models ; Groundwater ; Observatories ; Stream flow

Waterways:407.2 ; Flood Control:442.1 ; Meteorology:443 ; Atmospheric Properties:443.1 ; Surface Water:444.1 ; Groundwater:444.2 ; Fluid Flow, General:631.1 ; Mathematics:921

ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY

Web of Science

1.Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Mech & Aerosp Engn, Shenzhen, Guangdong, Peoples R China
2.Czech Geol Survey, Biogeochem Dept, Prague, Czech Republic
3.Czech Acad Sci, Global Change Res Inst, Brno, Czech Republic
4.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Ctr Water Resources & Environm, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
5.Czech Hydrometeorol Inst, Meteorol & Climatol Dept, Brno, Czech Republic

Zheng, Wenjuan,Lamacova, Anna,Yu, Xuan,et al. Assess hydrological responses to a warming climate at the Lysina Critical Zone Observatory in Central Europe[J]. HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,2021,35(9).

Zheng, Wenjuan.,Lamacova, Anna.,Yu, Xuan.,Kram, Pavel.,Hruska, Jakub.,...&Farda, Ales.(2021).Assess hydrological responses to a warming climate at the Lysina Critical Zone Observatory in Central Europe.HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,35(9).

Zheng, Wenjuan,et al."Assess hydrological responses to a warming climate at the Lysina Critical Zone Observatory in Central Europe".HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES 35.9(2021).