A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management

Wang, Hong1,2; Zhang, Xiaodong3

2018-03

10.1007/s11269-017-1894-0

WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT   影响因子和分区

0920-4741

1573-1650

Flood, as a serious worldwide environment problem, can lead to detrimental economic losses and fatalities. Effective flood control is desired to mitigate the adverse impacts of flooding and the associated flood risk through development of cost-effective and efficient flood management decisions and policies. A bi-level fuzzy two-stage stochastic programming model, named BIFS model is developed in this study to provide decision support for economic analysis of flood management. The BIFS model is capable of not only addressing the sequential decision making issue involving the two-level decision makers, but also correcting the pre-regulated flood management decisions before the occurrence of a flood event in the two-stage environment. The probabilistic and non-probabilistic uncertainties expressed as probability density functions and fuzzy sets are quantitatively analyzed. The overall satisfaction solution is obtained for meeting the goals of the two-level decision makers by compromising, reflecting the tradeoffs among various decision makers in the two decision-making levels. The results of application of the BIFS model to a representative case study indicate informed decision strategies for flood management. Tradeoffs between economic objectives and uncertainty-averse attitudes of decision makers are quantified.

Floodmanagement Diversion Two-level Two-stage Economic analysis

SCI ; EI

英语

第一

Engineering ; Water Resources

Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources

WOS:000425155400006

SPRINGER

20180204624756

Commerce ; Cost effectiveness ; Decision support systems ; Economic analysis ; Flood control ; Floods ; Losses ; Probability density function ; River diversion ; Stochastic models ; Stochastic programming ; Stochastic systems ; Uncertainty analysis

Dams and Reservoirs; Hydro Development:441 ; Flood Control:442.1 ; Industrial Economics:911.2 ; Management:912.2 ; Probability Theory:922.1 ; Systems Science:961

ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY

Web of Science

1.South Univ Sci & Technol China, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
2.South Univ Sci & Technol China, Engn Innovat Ctr Beijing, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Los Alamos Natl Lab, Earth & Environm Sci Div, Los Alamos, NM 87545 USA

Wang, Hong,Zhang, Xiaodong. A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management[J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,2018,32(5):1615-1629.

Wang, Hong,&Zhang, Xiaodong.(2018).A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,32(5),1615-1629.

Wang, Hong,et al."A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 32.5(2018):1615-1629.