Adaptation to Climate Change: A Comparative Analysis of Modeling Methods for Heat-Related Mortality

BACKGROUND: Multiple methods are employed for modeling adaptation when projecting the impact of climate change on heat -related mortality. The sensitivity of impacts to each is unknown because they have never been systematically compared. In addition, little is known about the relative sensitivity of impacts to-adaptation uncertainty" (i.e., the inclusion/exclusion of adaptation modeling) relative to using multiple climate models and emissions scenarios.