Quantification and driving force analysis of provincial-level carbon emissions in China

Ye, Bin1,2,5; Jiang, Jingling3,4; Li, Changsheng6; Miao, Lixin1,2; Tang, Jie3

2017-07-15

10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.04.063

APPLIED ENERGY   影响因子和分区

0306-2619

1872-9118

Accurately understanding the real situation of China's carbon emissions at the provincial level is not only crucial for realizing carbon mitigation in China, but also of great importance for tackling climate change on a global scale. This paper uses detailed energy consumption data subdivided within each fuel type and sector-specific emission factors, to calculate both direct and indirect energy-related CO2 emissions for China's provinces, and offers provincially-targeted policy proposals on emission reductions. The results uncover large divergences in calculation of provincial CO2 emissions between production-based and consumption-based accounting approaches. Considering the large amount of interprovincial CO2 emission transfers embodied in secondary energy deployment, the consumption-based accounting performs better in reflecting the actual features and responsibilities of carbon emissions in the provinces of China. From the consumption perspective, Shandong, Hebei, Jiangsu, Inner Mongolia, Guangdong, Henan, Liaoning and Shanxi contributed to the majority of China's carbon emission growth during the period of 1996-2013, while Xinjiang, Sichuan, Anhui, Tianjin and Hunan were playing an increasingly important role. These two groups of provinces should be regarded as the key regions for national emissions abatement. Meanwhile, the energy industry was the top sectoral contributor to CO2 emissions growth in most provinces, while service and household sectors made increasingly significant impacts on driving up provincial emissions. Together with ongoing efforts in the energy sector, the mitigation of CO2 emissions in service and household sectors deserves much more attention, especially in the transportation and urban household sectors. Furthermore, the temporal trends of carbon emissions in various provinces, as well as their factor and sectoral driving forces, varied greatly with each other. Therefore, each of the provinces should formulate emission reduction policies according to their own situation, and target the key driving factors and sectors of carbon emissions at the current stage or in the near future. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

CO2 emissions Consumption-based accounting Emission driving forces LMDI China

SCI ; EI ; SSCI

英语

通讯

Natural Science Foundation of China[71603110]

Energy & Fuels ; Engineering

Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical

WOS:000402343500018

ELSEVIER SCI LTD

20171803635207

Carbon dioxide ; Climate change ; Emission control ; Energy policy ; Energy utilization ; Gas emissions ; Urban transportation

Highway Transportation:432 ; Railroad Transportation:433 ; Atmospheric Properties:443.1 ; Air Pollution Control:451.2 ; Energy Utilization:525.3 ; Energy Policy:525.6 ; Chemical Products Generally:804 ; Inorganic Compounds:804.2

ENGINEERING

Web of Science

1.Tsinghua Univ, Grad Sch Shenzhen, Res Ctr Modern Logist, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China
2.Tsinghua Univ, Tsinghua Berkeley Shenzhen Inst, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China
3.Harbin Inst Technol, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China
4.South Univ Sci & Technol China, Dept Financial Math & Financial Engn, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China
5.Lawrence Berkeley Natl Lab, Energy Anal & Environm Impacts Div, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
6.Qingdao Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China

Ye, Bin,Jiang, Jingling,Li, Changsheng,et al. Quantification and driving force analysis of provincial-level carbon emissions in China[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2017,198:223-238.

Ye, Bin,Jiang, Jingling,Li, Changsheng,Miao, Lixin,&Tang, Jie.(2017).Quantification and driving force analysis of provincial-level carbon emissions in China.APPLIED ENERGY,198,223-238.

Ye, Bin,et al."Quantification and driving force analysis of provincial-level carbon emissions in China".APPLIED ENERGY 198(2017):223-238.