Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling

Wang, Xinchi1; Feng, Lian1; Qi, Wei1; Cai, Xiaobin2; Zheng, Yi1; Gibson, Luke1; Tang, Jing3; Song, Xiao-peng4; Liu, Junguo1; Zheng, Chunmiao1,5; Bryan, Brett A.6

2022-06-28

10.1029/2022GL099022

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS   影响因子和分区

0094-8276

1944-8007

Lake ice loss has been detected worldwide due to recent climate warming, yet spatially and temporally detailed information on the changes in global ice phenology does not exist. Here, we build a global lake ice phenology database comprising three lake ice phenologies-freeze-up, break-up, and ice duration-for each year across two centuries (1900-2099). The timing of all three phenologies experienced mild but statistically significant warming trends in the 20th century; continued warming trends were detected in similar to 60% of the lakes from 2001 to 2020. Under a high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), future global median ice duration would be shortened by 49.9 days by the end of the 21st century; such change can be substantially reduced under lower emission scenarios. We revealed continuous loss of global lake ice during the observed period, our generated database provides critical baseline information to evaluate the consequences of historical and future lake ice changes.

lake ice phenology climate warming lake-specific model remote sensing air temperature

SCI ; EI

英语

第一 ; 通讯

National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971304] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20060402] ; Shenzhen Science and Technology Innovation Committee[JCYJ20190809155205559] ; Stable Support Plan Program of Shenzhen Natural Science Fund[20200925155151006] ; Shenzhen Science and Technology Program[KCXFZ20201221173007020]

Geology

Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

WOS:000814921600001

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION

20222712304901

Biology ; Climate models ; Lakes ; Remote sensing

Meteorology:443 ; Biology:461.9 ; Mathematics:921

GEOSCIENCES

Web of Science

1.Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geodesy & Geophys, Wuhan, Peoples R China
3.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, Lund, Sweden
4.Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
5.EIT Inst Adv Study, Ningbo, Peoples R China
6.Deakin Univ, Ctr Integrat Ecol, Sch Life & Environm Sci, Burwood, Vic, Australia

Wang, Xinchi,Feng, Lian,Qi, Wei,et al. Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2022,49(12).

Wang, Xinchi.,Feng, Lian.,Qi, Wei.,Cai, Xiaobin.,Zheng, Yi.,...&Bryan, Brett A..(2022).Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,49(12).

Wang, Xinchi,et al."Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 49.12(2022).