The link between gas extraction and shallow seismicity around the Dalan gas field of Zagros Mountains, Iran

We analyze seismicity from 2013 to 2023 near Bushkan village in the Fars arc of the Zagros folded belt, colocated with the Dalan natural gas field. A previous study suggested unusual seismic behavior in the 2014–15 cluster, linking larger events to shallow depths (∼5 km) on steep reverse faults within the Dalan anticline. Nevertheless, ongoing debates persist regarding the potential correlation of seismicity with activities in the Dalan field. Our study investigates seismic activities using relocation, moment tensor inversion, stress inversion, and remote sensing techniques. We relocated 35 events above magnitude 3 and reconstructed source parameters for 12 events (M 4+) with uncertainties. Focal mechanisms were inverted, and morphology remote sensing was employed to ascertain the active stress state. Besides the 2014–15 cluster, we found a separate strike-slip cluster in 2018 at shallower depths (3–4 km), unusual for Zagros earthquakes. We suggest that pore pressure variations influence seismic sequences in the Dalan gas field area. However, distinguishing between human-induced and natural earthquakes in regions like Zagros with naturally elevated seismicity is challenging.